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The Report of the Student Nurse Intake Planning Exercise 2003

3 SNIP 2003 Data Analysis

3.1 BACKGROUND: CHARACTERISTICS OF THE QUALIFIED NURSING AND MIDWIFERY WORKFORCE IN SCOTLAND

This section summarises the main characteristics of the qualified nursing and midwifery workforce in Scotland.

1. The number of qualified nurses and midwives that were directly and permanently employed by NHSScotland increased from 43,511 at 30 September 2002, to 44,689 at 30 September 2003, an increase of 2.7%.*

2. The workforce outlined above is ageing. In 1990, 32.3% of the workforce were aged less than 30 compared to 13.1% in 2003. In contrast, 29.8% of staff were aged
30-39 in 1990 compared to 33.6% in 2003. The percentage aged 55 or over has fluctuated over the time period but at 7.5% in 2003, is only slightly higher than the figure of 7.2% in 1990.*

3. The grade mix of the nursing and midwifery workforce including unqualified staff has changed slightly over the period 1990-2003. In 1990, 65.8% of the workforce was made up of first- and second-level qualified nurses. In 2003, this was 69.5%.*

4. The proportion of nurses and midwives employed on part-time contracts has increased from 36.2% in 1990 to 39.7% in 2003. The proportion of male staff has remained constant at 9-10%.

5. The nursing and midwifery workforce consists of staff working in a number of sectors including:

* Source: Workforce Statistics, ISD Scotland

3.2 SUMMARY OF STAFF IN POST FIGURES

The table below summarises the staff in post baseline for NHS & non-NHS SNIP 2003 returns.

SNIP 2003 Baselines (Headcount)

SNIP 2003 Baselines (Percentage)

3.3 SNIP 2003 DEMAND FORECAST

This section summarises the demand data that were received from all sources during the SNIP2003 exercise by nurse registration category.

Sources of Data

• The NHS data are sourced from the annual SNIP return that is sent to all NHS Trusts.
• The private hospital and prison service data are also sourced from separate SNIP returns.
• The nursing homes data are estimated using data from the annual ISD survey of care homes and forecasts of bed numbers provided by NHS Boards (forecasts have been carried forward from SNIP2002).
• Data are also collected from Occupational Health Services and the Blood Transfusion Service

The graphs below summarise demand for each of the five nurse registration categories in headcount.

• The total demand forecast from all nurse employers in Scotland for over the five-year projection period is an additional 3,578 Registered Nurses - General. The NHS sector requires an additional 3,406 nurses and the non-NHS sector requires an additional 171 nurses.

• The total demand forecast from all nurse employers in Scotland over the five-year projection period is an additional 969 Registered Nurses - Mental Health. The NHS sector requires an additional 872 nurses, and the non-NHS sector requires an additional 97 nurses.

• The total demand forecast from all nurse employers in Scotland over the five-year projection period is a decrease of 70 Registered Nurses - Learning Disability. All of the decrease is in the NHS sector. There is no change forecast in the non-NHS sector.

• The total demand forecast from all nurse employers in Scotland over the five-year projection period is an additional 517 Registered Nurses - Children. The NHS sector requires an additional 520 nurses with the non-NHS sector forecasting a decrease of 3 nurses.

• The total demand forecast from all midwifery employers in Scotland over the five-year projection period is an additional 217 Registered Midwives with all this increase being in the NHS sector.

• The total demand forecast from all nurse employers in Scotland over the five-year projection period is an additional 5,211 registered nurses and midwives. The NHS sector requires an additional 4,945 nurses and midwives and the non-NHS sector requires an additional 266 nurses.

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